Is The Competition Getting Better in NASCAR?

By: Rob Simon
Recently we had a discussion about the competition level in NASCAR. We wondered why NASCAR racing was starting to get a little on the boring side. But we have all been told over the past few years that the competition in the Cup series has been getting better. With the trend of racing organizations growing to 4 race teams and the implementation of the COT we were curious if the competition was actually getting better. So we took the race results over the past 31 years and after looking at the data we may have found that NASCAR reached a peak moment a few years ago but since the implementation of the COT this trend has started to back off. Granted, every year for 31 years there have been multiple winners. The difference over the years is the amount of different winners. You'll notice that in the late 70's and early 80’s the same names kept popping up. This trend even continued into the late 90's when the trend began to change a bit.

The sport did have some real competitive years between 1986 and 1991 when we found a lot of different winners but you’ll notice that it was still the same names. In 2008 the competition level seemed to drop significantly off. So what was the cause of this major shift in the amount of winners? Well we saw the COT become the car of the full season. Some teams may have been behind in development. In the beginning of the the year it was mainly Roush and Gibbs that dominated the series but that leveled off a little once Hendrick and Johnson starting winning more.

After 7 races in 2009 we have had 5 different winners giving us a 71% chance of a different winner each week. There was a similar trend in 2007 until the end of the year when Johnson started winning everything. It is hard to say whether this year will be more competitive like it was just a few years ago but we hope that with every race in the COT the teams will learn more to make them handle better. We have decided to give this chart life so make sure to keep checking back to follow the competition level trend throughout the years.

Previous Winners 1977-20078
Year Races Different Winners % Different Winners Top Winner Other Winners
1977 30 7 23% Cale Yarborough
(9 wins)
D. Waltrip (6), Petty (5), Parsons (4), Pearson (2), Donnie Allison (2), Bonnett (2)
1978 30 6 20% Cale Yarborough
(10 wins)
B. Allison (6), D. Waltrip (6), Pearson (4), Parsons (3), Lennie Pond (1)
1979 31 9 29% Darrell Waltrip
(7 wins)
B. Allison (5), R. Petty (4), Yarborough (4), Baker (3), Bonnett (3), Parsons (2), Earnhardt* (1), Pearson (1)
1980 31 10 32% Cale Yarborough
(6 wins)
D. Waltrip (5), Earnhardt (5), B. Allison (4), Parsons (3), Baker (2), Petty (2), Bonnett (2), Pearson (1), Labonte (1)
1981 31 9 29% Darrell Waltrip
(12 wins)
B. Allison (5), R. Petty (3), Parsons (3), Bonnett (3), Yarborough (2), Morgan Shepherd (1), Jody Ridley (1), Ron Bouchard (1)
1982 30 8 27% Darrell Waltrip
(12 wins)
B. Allison (8), Yarborough (3), Gant (2), Richmond (2), Dave Marcis (1), Earnhardt (1), Bonnett (1)
1983 30 12 40% Bobby Allison
(7 wins)
D. Waltrip (6), Yarborough (4), R. Petty (3), Bonnett (2), Rudd (2), Gant (1), Baker (1), Earnhardt (1), Richmond (1), T. Labonte (1), Elliott (1)
1984 30 12 40% Darrell Waltrip
(7 wins)
Yarborough (3), G. Bodine (3), Elliott (3), Gant (3), B. Allison (2), R. Petty (2), T. Labonte (2), Earnhardt (2), Rudd (1), Parsons (1), Richmond (1)
1985 28 9 32% Bill Elliott
(11 wins)
Earnhardt (4), Gant (3), D. Watrip (3), Bonnett (2), Yarborough (2), T. Labonte (1), Greg Sacks (1), Rudd (1)
1986 29 15 52% Tim Richmond
(7 wins)
Earnhardt (5), D. Waltrip (3), G. Bodine (2), Elliott (2), K. Petty (1), T. Labonte (1), M. Shepherd (1), Wallace (1), Rudd (1), B. Allison (1), Hillin Jr. (1), Rudd (1), Wallace (1), Bonnett (1)
1987 29 10 34% Dale Earnhardt
(11 wins)
Elliott (5), Wallace (3), Rudd (2), Davey Allison* (2), Richmond (2), K. Petty (1), B. Allison (1), D. Waltrip (1), T. Labonte (1)
1988 29 14 48% Bill Elliott, Rusty Wallce
(6 wins each)
Bonnett (2), Earnhardt (2), D. Waltrip (2), B. Allison (1), D. Allison (1), Lake Speed (1), T. Labonte (1), Phil Parson (1), G. Bodine (1), Schrader (1), Rudd (1), Kulwicki (1)
1989 29 11 38% Rusty Wallace, D. Waltrip
(6 wins each)
Earnhardt (5), Elliott (3), D. Allison (2), T. Labonte (2), Schrader (1), Gant (1), Rudd (1), G. Bodine (1), Martin (1)
1990 29 14 48% Dale Earnhardt
(9 wins)
Martin (3), G. Bodine (3), Cope (2), D. Allison (2), Wallace (2), K. Petty (1), B. Bodine (1), Gant (1), Rudd (1), Irvan (1), Elliott (1), Kulwicki (1), Shepherd (1)
1991 29 14 48% Davey Allison, Harry Gant
(5 wins each)
Earnhardt (4), Irvan (2), Schrader (2), Wallace (2), D. Waltrip (2), K. Petty (1), Rudd (1), Elliott (1), Jarrett (1), Kulwicki (1), Bodine (1), Martin (1)
1992 29 12 41% Davey Allison, Bill Elliott
(5 wins each)
Irvan (3), D. Waltrip (3), Kulwicki (2), Martin (2), Gant (2), K. Petty (2), G. Bodine (2), Earnhardt (1), Wallace (1), Rudd (1)
1993 30 10 33% Rusty Wallace
(10 wins)
Earnhardt (6), Martin (5), Irvan (3), Jarrett (1), D. Allison (1), Shepherd (1), G. Bodine (1), K. Petty (1), Rudd (1)
1994 31 13 42% Rusty Wallce
(8 wins)
Earnhardt (4), Irvan (3), T. Labonte (3), G. Bodine (3), J. Gordon (2), Spencer (2), Martin (2), Marlin (1), Rudd (1), Elliott (1), Jarrett (1)
1995 31 11 35% Jeff Gordon
(7 wins)
Earnhardt (5), Martin (4), Marlin (3), T. Labonte (3), B. Labonte (3), Wallce (2), K. Petty (1), Jarrett (1), W. Burton (1), Rudd (1)
1996 31 10 32% Jeff Gordon
(10 wins)
Wallace (5), Jarrett (4), Earnhardt (2), T. Labonte (2), B. Labonte (2), Marlin (2), Irvan (2), G. Bodine (1), Rudd (1)
1997 32 11 34% Jeff Gordon
(10 wins)
Jarrett (7), Martin (4), J. Burton (3), Rudd (2), Wallce (1), Irvan (1), J. Andretti (1), T. Labonte (1), B. Labonte (1), Hamilton (1)
1998 33 11 33% Jeff Gordon
(13 wins)
Martin (7), Jarrett (3), B. Labonte (2), J. Burton (2), Earnhardt (1), Hamilton (1), T. Labonte (1), Mayfield (1), Rudd (1), Wallace (1)
1999 34 11 32% Jeff Gordon
(7 wins)
J. Burton (6), B. Labonte (5), Jarrett (4), Earnhardt (3), Stewart* (3), Martin (2), T. Labonte (1), Wallace (1), J. Andretti (1), Nemechek (1)
2000 34 14 41% B. Labonte, Tony Stewart
(5 wins each)
J. Burton (4), Wallace (4), Gordon (3), Jarrett (2), Earnhardt (2), Earnhardt Jr* (2), Mayfield (2), W. Burton (1), Martin (1), Kenseth* (1), Park (1), Nadeau (1)
2001 36 19 53% Jeff Gordon
(6 wins)
Jarrett (4), Stewart (3), Earnhardt Jr. (3), Harvick* (2), J. Burton (2), B. Labonte (2), Marlin (2), Rudd (2), M. Waltrip (1), Park (1), Sadler (1), Hamilton (1), Wallace (1),R. Gordon (1), (Elliott (1), W. Burton (1), Nemechek (1), Craven (1)
2002 36 18 50% Matt Kenseth
(5 wins)
Ku. Busch (4), Stewart (3), Johnson* (3), Gordon (3), W. Burton (2), Marlin (2), Earnhardt Jr (2), Jarrett (2), Elliott (2), B. Labonte (1), Martin (1), Rudd (1), M. Waltrip (1), Harvick (1), Newman* (1), McMurray (1), Benson (1)
2003 36 17 47% Ryan Newman
(8 wins)
Ku. Busch (4), Gordon (3), Johnson (3), M. Waltrip (2), B. Labonte (2), Earnhardt Jr. (2), Stewart (2), R. Gordon (2), Jarrett (1), Kenseth (1), Craven (1), Nemechek (1), Biffle* (1), Harvick (1), T. Labonte (1), Elliott (1)
2004 36 13 36% Jimmie Johnson
(8 wins)
Earnhardt Jr (6), Gordon (5), Ku. Busch (3), Kenseth (2), Sadler (2), Newman (2), Stewart (2), Biffle (2), Wallace (1), Martin (1), Mayfield (1), Nemecheck (1)
2005 36 15 42% Greg Biffle
(6 wins)
Stewart (5), Gordon (4), Johnson (4), Edwards (4), Ku. Busch (3), Ky. Busch* (2), Harvick (1), Kahne (1), Earnhardt Jr (1), Mayfield (1), Kenseth (1), Newman (1), Jarrett (1), Martin (1)
2006 36 13 36% Kasey Kahne
(6 wins)
Johnson (5), Stewart (5), Harvick (5), Kenseth (4), Biffle (2), Hamlin* (2), Gordon (2), Ku. Busch (1), Earnhardt Jr (1), Ky. Busch (1), J. Burton (1), Vickers (1)
2007 36 16 44% Jimmie Johnson
(10 Wins)
Gordon (6), Edwards (3), Stewart (3), Ku. Busch (2), Kenseth (2), Harvick (1), Ky. Busch (1), Burton (1), Mears (1), Truex (1), Montoya* (1), Hamlin (1), McMurray (1), Bowyer (1), Biffle (1)
2008 36 11 33% Carl Edwards
(9 Wins)
Ky Busch (8), Johnson (7), Biffle (2), Burton (2), Kahne (2), Bowyer (1), Ku Busch (1), Earnhardt Jr. (1), Hamlin (1), Newman (1), Stewart (1)
2009 7 5 77% Matt Kenseth, Kyle Busch
(2 wins each)
Ku Busch (1), Gordon (1), Johnson (1)